Project 1

Teenage Pregnancies in Watauga and North Carolina

 

The following data appeared in the Watauga Democrat on Feb 4, 1994.
 
 

Teenage Pregnancies in Watauga County & North Carolina
Watauga County
North Carolina
 
Ages
10->14
Ages
15->19
Total
  
Ages
10->14
Ages
15->19
Total
1985
1
126
600
1985
863
23,558
122,644
1986
0
118
623
1986
886
23,574
123,877
1987
1
101
556
1987
798
24,256
128,639
1988
0
119
569
1988
822
25,446
134,498
1989
0
110
570
1989
854
25,846
137,897
1990
0
83
582
1990
800
25,404
139,915
1991
0
82
567
1991
769
24,299
137,562
1992
0
84
550
1992
718
22,993
137,603

 
  1. Selecting a column.
     
      List your student ID numbers: ____________ and ____________.

    Add the last digit of the first to the last digit of the second; divide the result by 4 and keep the remainder _____ (this is called "mod 4"). Your column is given by the remainder:
    RemainderColumn
     0 Watauga County, Total
     1 Watauga County, Ages 15->19
     2 North Carolina, Ages 10->14
     3 North Carolina, Ages 15->19

  2. Predict the number of Teenage pregnancies for the year 1999.

 
  A minimal project report will include:
  1. This page as the cover sheet
  2. A plot of the data and the best fit function
  3. The equation of the best fit function
  4. A narrative describing your reasoning for choosing the function
  5. The predicted 1998 value N(t).
Names:
 
   
 
   
 
Student ID Numbers: